Asian stock markets were mixed Tuesday ahead of updates on U.S. employment amid fears of a possible global recession.
Shanghai and Hong Kong gained. Seoul and Sydney declined. Oil prices fell.
Coming off a year of big declines for major stock markets, traders worry the Federal Reserve and other central banks that raised interest rates last year to cool inflation might be willing to push the world into recession.
Inflation might “remain far north of 3% by the end of 2023, simply too high for central bank comfort, said Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management in a report.
The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.2% to 3,094.12 and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 0.6% to 19,906.65. Japanese markets were closed for a holiday.
This week’s most closely watched data point notes from the Fed’s latest meeting are due to be released Thursday. That will give traders an update on the U.S. central bank’s thinking about the possible need for more rate hikes.
It will be followed Friday by U.S. employment data.
Forecasters expect monthly job gains to decline in December, which they hope might encourage the Fed to dial back plans for more rate hikes. But the Fed has a “clear focus on keeping inflation under check,” which “could still leave pricing data as the key driver of market moves,” Yeap Jun Rong of IG said in a report.
Traders also are looking ahead to corporate earnings reports in mid-January.
Global central banks are trying to extinguish inflation that is at multi-decade highs in many countries. It has been worsened by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which disrupted commodity markets and caused oil and wheat prices to spike.
U.S. financial markets were closed Monday for a holiday after Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index ended 2022 down 19.4%, its biggest decline since the 2008 financial crisis. It lost $8.2 trillion in stock value, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Market benchmarks in Germany and France closed higher Monday.
The Fed’s key lending rate stands at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, up from close to zero after seven increases last year. The U.S. central bank forecasts it will reach a range of 5% to 5.25% by late 2023, with no rate cut before 2024.
In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude lost 36 cents to $79.90 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose $1.86 on Monday to $80.26. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, shed 39 cents to $85.52 per barrel in London. It added $2.45 for the previous session to $85.91.
The dollar declined to 130.17 yen from Monday’s 130.80 yen. The euro edged down to $1.0669 from $1.0700.
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